Project background:

With the rapid development of economy and society, the demand for electricity continues to grow, and power supply is facing multiple challenges such as new energy consumption, elimination of thermal power units, and cross-regional transmission. The reform of power marketization is also deepening. How to ensure the safe and stable operation of the power system And the optimal allocation of resources has become an important topic in the power industry.

Customer pain points:

The client is the Development and Reform Commission of a region, which needs to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the power demand and supply in the region, evaluate the power gap and peak shaving capacity in the next few years, and provide a basis for power planning and policy formulation.

Project purpose:

Through the systematic investigation and in-depth analysis of the power consumption characteristics, load forecasting, power generation structure, new energy development and cross-regional transactions in the region, the power demand and supply balance model is established, and reasonable power supply and demand schemes and suggestions are put forward.

Research object:

The research objects of the project mainly include the following categories:

Electricity side: including industrial, commercial, residential and other types of users, as well as sales companies, demand side response and other market entities;

Power generation side: including thermal power, hydropower, nuclear power, wind power, photovoltaic and other types of power generation enterprises and units;

Grid side: including national grid, southern power grid and other transmission and distribution enterprises and operating institutions;

Market side: including Beijing, Guangzhou and other levels of power trading centers and market management institutions.

Project Content:

The main elements of the project are as follows:

Investigate the characteristics of electricity consumption in the region, analyze the electricity consumption, electricity consumption structure, electricity quality, electricity efficiency and other indicators of various users, and evaluate the response and flexibility of the electricity side to market price signals;

Forecasting the load trend of the region in the next few years, considering economic and social development, energy conservation and emission reduction targets, climate change and other factors, establishing load forecasting models, analyzing peak-valley differences and seasonal changes;

Investigate the power generation structure of the region, analyze the installed capacity, output characteristics, operating costs and other parameters of various types of generating units, and evaluate the adaptability of the power generation side to market competition and environmental constraints;

Investigate the development of new energy in the region, analyze the resource potential, development scale and access mode of clean energy such as wind energy and solar energy, and evaluate the impact of new energy on market mechanism and system operation;

Investigate the cross-regional transactions in the region, analyze the capacity of transmission channels with neighboring provinces or regions, transaction rules, price formation mechanisms, etc., and evaluate the role of cross-regional transactions in market resource allocation and price stability;

Establish a power demand and supply balance model, comprehensively consider various constraints, simulate the operation of the power market in the region in the next few years, analyze the power gap and peak-shaving capacity, and predict market prices and turnover;

Put forward the power supply and demand plan and suggestion, according to the power demand and supply balance analysis results, put forward reasonable power planning, policy, market mechanism and other aspects of the proposal, to provide decision support for customers.

Project Value:

The main values of the project are as follows:

To provide customers with a comprehensive, in-depth, scientific power demand and supply analysis report, for customers to develop power planning and policy provides a reliable basis;

It provides customers with reasonable, feasible and efficient power supply and demand schemes and suggestions, and provides effective reference for customers to optimize the allocation of power resources, ensure the safety and stability of power, and promote the reform of power marketization;

It provides customers with professional, high-quality and efficient market research services, saves time and cost for customers, and improves customer satisfaction and trust.