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尚普咨询：2023年地源热泵行业发展现状评价与趋势预测

2024-07-18 01:54:52 Source: Champ Consulting Visits:0

地源热泵是一种利用浅层地热资源（也称地能，包括土壤、地下水、湖水等）的既可供热又可制冷的高效节能空调设备。地源热泵通过输入少量的高品位能源（如电能），实现由低温位热能向高温位热能转移。与传统的空调设备相比，地源热泵具有节能减排、提高舒适度、降低运行维护成本等优点，被认为是一种理想的清洁能源技术。

According to data from the Champ Consulting Group,2023年中国地源热泵行业的发展现状如下：

（1）政策环境：国家层面出台了一系列支持地源热泵发展的政策规划，明确了“十四五”期间的发展目标和重点区域，鼓励各地因地制宜推广使用地源热泵技术。同时，国家提出了“碳达峰”和“碳中和”的战略目标，为地源热泵这种低碳清洁能源提供了强大的政策驱动力。各省市也根据自身的资源条件和需求情况，制定了相应的地方性政策规划，对地源热泵的技术标准、财政补贴、示范项目等方面给予了支持和引导。

（2) Market size: According to data from the Champ Consulting Group,2022年全国地源热泵行业供暖/Refrigeration building area exceeds8亿平方米，年均复合增速达超过20%。2023年全年预计将超过9亿平方米，占全国建筑供暖/制冷总面积的近10%. Among them, the northern cold region is the main market for ground source heat pump applications, accounting for about70%, mainly for heating and domestic hot water; warm and humid areas in the south are potential markets for ground source heat pump applications, accounting for approximately30%，主要用于制冷和去湿。按应用领域划分，民用建筑是地源热泵应用的主体，占比约60%, mainly including residential buildings, hotels, hospitals, etc.; public buildings are the focus of ground source heat pump applications, accounting for approximately30%，主要包括学校、办公楼、商场等；工业建筑是地源热泵应用的新兴领域，占比约10%Mainly including food, pharmaceutical, chemical and so on.

（3）技术水平：中国地源热泵技术经过多年的发展，已经形成了较为完善的技术体系，包括地源热泵设备、地热能开采利用技术、地源热泵系统设计与运行控制技术等。其中，地源热泵设备是地源热泵技术的核心，主要包括水冷式热泵机组、水源热泵机组、螺杆式热泵机组等。目前，中国已经具备了较强的地源热泵设备生产能力，国产设备的市场占有率超过80%。同时，中国也在不断加强地源热泵技术的创新和标准化，提高了地源热泵的性能和可靠性，降低了地源热泵的成本和风险。

（4) Competition pattern: The competition pattern of China's ground source heat pump industry shows the characteristics of diversification and differentiation. On the one hand, there are many types of enterprises in the industry, including enterprises specializing in the production of ground source heat pump equipment, enterprises providing design and construction services for ground source heat pump systems, and enterprises providing comprehensive ground source heat pump solutions. There is both competition and cooperation between these enterprises, forming a complex relationship of interests. On the other hand, there are obvious regional differences and scale differences in the industry, and there is a large gap in competitiveness and market share between enterprises of different regions and sizes. At present, the leading enterprises in the industry are mainly concentrated in Beijing, Hebei, Shandong and other northern provinces and cities, with strong brand influence and technical advantages, occupying a large market share. Small and medium-sized enterprises are distributed throughout the country, mainly relying on low-cost competition and regional advantages, occupying a certain market space.

according to champ consulting,2023年中国地源热泵行业将面临以下发展趋势和机遇：

（1）发展趋势：随着国家“双碳”目标的实施和建筑节能减排需求的增加，地源热泵作为一种低碳清洁能源技术将迎来快速发展的机遇期。预计到2025National ground source heat pump heating/Refrigeration building area will reach12亿平方米左右，年均复合增速将保持在15%左右。同时，随着技术创新和政策支持的推动，地源热泵将在性能、效率、成本等方面取得更大的突破，进一步提高市场竞争力和用户满意度。此外，随着用户对舒适度和健康度的要求提高，地源热泵将与智能化、个性化、多功能化等新兴需求相结合，形成更多的产品创新和应用场景。

（2）发展机遇：在未来几年内，中国地源热泵行业将面临以下几个方面的发展机遇：

北方冬季清洁取暖：北方地区是地源热泵应用的主要市场，也是国家清洁取暖的重点区域。根据国家能源局的规划，到2025年，北方地区清洁取暖比例将达到70%，其中非化石能源供暖比例将达到20%。地源热泵作为一种高效节能的非化石能源供暖技术，将在北方冬季清洁取暖中发挥重要作用，有望获得更多的政策支持和市场需求。

南方夏季制冷去湿：南方地区是地源热泵应用的潜在市场，也是国家节能降耗的重点区域。根据国家发改委的规划，到2025年，南方地区建筑空调能耗将下降15%。地源热泵作为一种高效节能的制冷去湿技术，将在南方夏季制冷去湿中发挥重要作用，有望获得更多的技术创新和市场推广。

新型城镇化建设：新型城镇化建设是国家“十四五”期间的重大战略，也是地源热泵应用的重要领域。根据国家住建部的规划，到2025年，全国城镇化率将达到65%，其中常住人口城镇化率将达到70%。地源热泵作为一种低碳舒适的建筑空调技术，将在新型城镇化建设中发挥重要作用，有望获得更多的示范项目和市场空间。

工业节能减排：工业节能减排是国家“双碳”目标的重要保障，也是地源热泵应用的新兴领域。根据国家工信部的规划，到2025年，全国工业能耗强度将下降15%，工业碳排放强度将下降18%。地源热泵作为一种高效节能的工业供热/制冷技术，将在工业节能减排中发挥重要作用，有望获得更多的技术突破和市场机会。

To sum up,2023年中国地源热泵行业在国家“双碳”目标的引领下，将迎来快速发展的机遇期，但也面临着成本高、标准缺失、认知度低等挑战，需要加强技术创新、政策支持、市场推广等措施，促进行业健康可持续发展。

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