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Shangpu Consulting: Analysis of Market Demand in Air Transport Industry in 2023

2024-07-18 10:05:05 Source: Champ Consulting Visits:0

2023The year was a crucial year for the development of the global air transport industry. After experiencing the severe impact of the new crown epidemic, the air transport industry has ushered in opportunities and challenges for recovery and transformation.According to data from the Champ Consulting Group,2023Global air cargo traffic will decrease throughout the year.4.3%To577010,000 tons; airline freight revenue is approximately1494Billion US dollars, year-on-year decrease25%. This forecast is mainly affected by the following factors: first, the slowdown of global economic growth and trade recession, especially the negative impact of Sino US trade friction on the trans Pacific freight market; second, with the increase of vaccination rate and the relaxation of travel restrictions, the capacity of passenger aircraft belly cabin is expected to recover rapidly, resulting in oversupply and price decline; third, the competition of other modes such as shipping and railway is intensified, constitute a substitution and crowding-out effect on air cargo demand.

However, while seeing a decline in air cargo demand on a global scale, China's domestic market has shown a trend of stabilization and recovery. According to data from the Champ Consulting Group,2022China's civil aviation cargo and mail traffic in745.6Ten thousand tons, year-on-year growth5.4%Among them, the domestic cargo and mail transportation volume is.487.8Ten thousand tons, year-on-year growth9.1%; international cargo and mail traffic volume is257.8Ten thousand tons, down year-on-year.0.8%。2023The domestic air cargo market will continue to grow as the economy resumes steady growth, the scale of consumption expands, the consumption structure upgrades, and e-commerce and cross-border e-commerce goods grow rapidly. Meanwhile, China“The World Factory”The status of made in China and Chinese brands will accelerate the pace of development in the global competition, and China will further increase economic cooperation with ASEAN, South Asia, the Middle East, Latin America, Africa and other regions. These factors will broaden the cargo market and traffic channels for international air cargo.

In the face of the changing market environment and demand structure, the main body of the air transport industry should strengthen confidence, enhance competitiveness, strengthen innovation, and achieve high-quality development. Specifically, we can start from the following aspects:

One is to optimize the route network and capacity layout. According to the changes in passenger and freight demand, flexible adjustment of route frequency and aircraft, improve the load rate and yield of flights. At the same time, the use of multimodal transport, air-to-air transit and other modes to expand coverage and increase market share. In addition, strengthen cooperation with other airlines, airports, logistics companies, etc., to achieve resource sharing and mutual benefit.

The second is to improve service quality and efficiency. According to the needs of different customers, we will launch differentiated freight products and services to improve customer satisfaction and loyalty. At the same time, speed up the construction of informatization and intelligence, realize real-time tracking and monitoring of goods, and improve the safety and traceability of goods. In addition, optimize the operation process and standards, improve the support capacity and efficiency.

The third is to strengthen innovation capacity and core competitiveness. According to market changes and customer needs, develop new air transportation products and services to meet diversified market needs. At the same time, increase investment in science and technology and research and development, introduce and apply new technologies, new equipment, new materials, etc., to improve the safety, environmental protection, and energy saving of air transportation. In addition, the training and introduction of professionals to improve the level of human capital in the air transport industry.

Champ Consulting believes that in2023In such a year full of opportunities and challenges, the air transport industry should seize the opportunity, on the basis of maintaining stability and seeking progress, work hard on innovation driven development, make a fuss on improving brand image, play a role in serving social and economic development, and make contributions to promoting green and low-carbon development. According to data from the Champ Consulting Group,2023China's air transport industry is expected to achieve revenue of approximately1400billion yuan (approx.217billion U.S. dollars), a year-on-year increase of about10%; profit of about100billion yuan (approx.15billion U.S. dollars), a year-on-year increase of about20%. This forecast is based on a comprehensive analysis of market demand, policy environment, industry competition and other factors, and takes into account certain uncertainties. We believe that with the joint efforts of all parties, the air transport industry will usher in new development opportunities and challenges, showing strong resilience and vitality.

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