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Shangpu Consulting: Analysis of Competitive Environment of Urban Maglev Industry in 2023

2024-07-18 01:39:05 Source: Champu Consulting Visits:0

Development Status of Global Urban Maglev Industry in 1.

Global Urban Maglev Operation in (I)

At present, there are only four urban maglev lines in commercial operation in the world, namely, the Shanghai Maglev Demonstration Line (China), the Changsha Maglev Express Line (China), and the Beijing Maglev Line.S1line (China) and Incheon Airport Maglev Line (South Korea). Among them, the Shanghai maglev demonstration line is the world's only high-speed maglev line, using the GermanTRTechnical system, design speed430kilometers; the other three are medium and low speed maglev lines, using JapaneseMLUtechnology system or China's independent technology system, design speed100-120Kilometers.

Development of Global Urban Maglev Technology in (II)

There are two main systems of global urban magnetic levitation technology: GermanyTRTechnical System and JapanMLUtechnical system.

GermanyTRThe technical system is a high-speed magnetic levitation technology, which uses electromagnetic levitation and long-stator linear synchronous motor traction. It has the characteristics of high speed, stable operation and high safety, but it also has the disadvantages of high cost, high energy consumption, and complex maintenance. GermanyTRThe representative work of the technical system is the Shanghai maglev demonstration line, which is still being planned and built in Hamburg in Germany.-Berlin high-speed magnetic levitation line.

JapanMLUThe technical system is a medium-and low-speed magnetic levitation technology. It uses superconducting electromagnetic levitation and short-stator linear induction motor for traction. It has the characteristics of low cost, low noise, low energy consumption, and simple maintenance, but it also has low speed, unstable operation, and safety. Disadvantages such as poor safety. JapanMLUThe representative works of the technical system are Changsha Maglev Express Line and Incheon Airport Maglev Line, and Japan is still planning to build Tokyo.-Nagoya-Osaka super maglev line.

In addition to Germany and Japan, the United States, China, South Korea and other countries are also actively developing and testing urban maglev technology. The United States mainly adoptsMagplaneTechnology, the use of permanent magnets and electric motors to achieve suspension and traction, is still in the experimental stage; China mainly uses independent technology, the use of normal conductive magnets and linear induction motors to achieve suspension and traction, has achieved commercial operation; South Korea mainly usesURBAN MAGLEVtechnology, using permanent magnets and linear synchronous motors to achieve suspension and traction, is still in the experimental stage.

Development Status of Urban Maglev Industry in China in 2.

Market Size of Urban Maglev Industry in China, (I)

According to data from the Champ Consulting Group,2017-2020years respectively42.6Billions of dollars,45.8Billions of dollars,49.2Billions of dollars and53.1billion, with an average annual growth rate7.6%2021The market size of China's urban maglev industry in50.9billion yuan,2022The annual market size reached59Billion yuan, year-on-year growth10%

(II) the technical level of China's urban magnetic levitation industry

The technical level of China's urban magnetic levitation industry has experienced a process from introduction to autonomy. Initially, China introduced German high-speed maglev technology and built the world's first commercially operated high-speed maglev demonstration line in Shanghai; subsequently, China introduced Japanese medium-and low-speed maglev technology and built China's first medium-and low-speed maglev express line in Changsha; since then, China began to independently develop medium-and low-speed maglev technology and built China's first medium-and low-speed maglev technology in Beijing.S1Line.

20217Month20Day, China speed600Kilometer high-speed maglev transportation system successfully offline in Qingdao, this is the world's first set of design speed up600The kilometer-long high-speed maglev transportation system marks that China has mastered the complete set of high-speed maglev technology and engineering capabilities. The system adopts electromagnetic levitation and long stator linear synchronous motor traction, which has the characteristics of high operating efficiency, low energy consumption, high safety and good comfort, and can realize rapid interconnection between cities.

At present, the technical level of China's urban maglev industry has reached the international advanced level, the medium and low speed maglev technology with completely independent intellectual property rights has been applied on a large scale, and the high-speed maglev technology has also made a major breakthrough, providing strong technical support for the development of urban maglev industry.

(III) Policy Support for Urban Maglev Industry in China

The Chinese government attaches great importance to the development of the urban maglev industry and has issued a series of policies and measures to provide policy guarantees for the development of the urban maglev industry. The main policies are as follows:

In 2003, the "Decision of the State Council on Several Major Issues Concerning Accelerating Railway Construction" clearly stated that the construction of the Shanghai-Hangzhou high-speed maglev railway should be accelerated.

In 2004, the "Decision of the State Council on Several Major Issues Concerning Accelerating Railway Construction" clearly stated that the construction of the Shanghai-Hangzhou high-speed maglev railway should be accelerated.

In 2006, the Outline of the National Medium-and Long-Term Science and Technology Development Plan (2006-2020Year) "takes the high-speed maglev train as one of the major national science and technology projects, and proposes to break through key technologies and realize independent innovation.

In 2016, the National New Urbanization Plan (2014-2020Year) "proposed to strengthen the construction of rail transit, the promotion of the application of low-speed magnetic levitation and other new rail transit methods.

In 2017, 《Thirteen FiveThe National Strategic Emerging Industry Development Plan takes rail transit equipment as one of the strategic emerging industries, and proposes to accelerate the development of new rail transit equipment such as high-speed, medium and low-speed maglev trains.

In 2018, the "Guiding Opinions of the General Office of the State Council on Promoting the Healthy Development of Rail Transit" proposed to strengthen rail transit technology innovation and promote the application of new rail transit equipment such as high-speed, medium and low-speed maglev trains.

In 2020, the Notice of the General Office of the State Council on Issuing the Plan for the Separation of Key Tasks for New Infrastructure Construction will include new rail transit equipment such as high-speed, medium-and low-speed maglev trains into the key areas of new infrastructure construction.

Analysis on Competitive Environment of Urban Maglev Industry in China in 3.

(I) City Maglev Industry Competition

The competition pattern of China's urban maglev industry is mainly divided into two levels: one is the competition of high-speed maglev technology system, and the other is the competition of medium and low-speed maglev technology system.

In the competition of high-speed maglev technology system, only Germany and China have mastered the complete set of technology and engineering capabilities, and Japan is also actively carrying out the research and development and testing of super maglev technology. Germany's high-speed maglev technology has been demonstrated in Shanghai for nearly20It has high maturity and reliability, but there are also problems such as high cost, high energy consumption and complex maintenance. China's high-speed maglev technology has carried out independent innovation and optimization and improvement on the basis of learning from German technology. It has the advantages of low cost, low energy consumption, and simple maintenance, but it also needs to be tested and improved by actual operations. Japan's super magnetic levitation technology uses superconducting electromagnetic levitation and long stator linear synchronous motor traction. It has the characteristics of extremely high speed, stable operation, and high safety. However, it also has extremely high cost, great energy consumption, and extremely difficult maintenance. problem. At present, Japan has not built a commercial operation of the super maglev line, only a test line.

In the competition of medium and low speed maglev technology system, Japan, China, South Korea and other countries are mainly involved. Among them, Japan and China have realized commercial operation, and the South Korea is still in the experimental stage. Japan's medium and low speed magnetic levitation technology adopts superconducting electromagnetic levitation and short stator linear induction motor traction, which has the characteristics of low noise, low energy consumption and simple maintenance, but it also has problems such as low speed, unstable operation and poor safety. China's medium and low speed magnetic levitation technology adopts normal conductive magnetic levitation and linear induction motor traction, which has the characteristics of low cost, moderate speed, stable operation and high safety, and has been applied on a large scale. The South Korea medium and low speed magnetic levitation technology uses permanent magnets and linear synchronous motors for traction. It has the characteristics of low noise, low energy consumption, and simple maintenance, but it also has problems such as low speed, unstable operation, and poor safety. At present, South Korea has not built a commercial operation of the low-speed magnetic levitation line, only a test line.

(II) City Maglev Industry Competitive Advantage

China's urban maglev industry has the following competitive advantages:

Market demand is large. As the largest developing country in the world, China's urbanization process is advancing rapidly, and the demand for urban transportation is increasing. As an efficient, environmentally friendly and energy-saving mode of transportation, rail transit has been widely welcomed and supported. As a new type of rail transit, urban maglev has the advantages of fast speed, low noise, high safety, low energy consumption, and good environmental protection. It is suitable for the rapid interconnection between cities or within cities, and meets the needs and directions of urban transportation in China.

Strong technological innovation. China's urban maglev industry has gone through the process of technological innovation from introduction to independence, and has mastered the complete set of high-speed, medium and low-speed maglev technology and engineering capabilities, reaching the international advanced level. China per hour600The successful offline of the kilometer high-speed maglev transportation system is the world's first design speed.600The kilometer-long high-speed maglev transportation system demonstrates China's technological strength and innovation capabilities in the field of high-speed maglev. The medium and low speed maglev of China's independent technology has also been applied on a large scale, with strong market competitiveness and promotion potential.

More policy support. The Chinese government attaches great importance to the development of the urban maglev industry and has issued a series of policies and measures to provide policy guarantees for the development of the urban maglev industry. For example, new rail transit equipment such as high-speed, medium and low-speed maglev trains should be included in the key areas of national major science and technology projects, strategic emerging industries and new infrastructure construction, financial investment and financial support should be increased, technological innovation and industrial upgrading should be encouraged, and the healthy development of urban maglev industry should be promoted.

The industrial chain is perfect. China's urban maglev industry has formed a relatively complete industrial chain, covering vehicle manufacturing, track construction, traction power supply, signal communication, operation management and other links, with strong supporting capabilities and synergistic effects. China has a number of urban maglev vehicle manufacturers with independent intellectual property rights and international competitiveness, such as CRRC Qingdao Sifang Co., Ltd., CRRC Zhuzhou Electric Locomotive Co., Ltd., etc.; it also has a number of urban maglev with rich experience and professional technology Construction enterprises, such as China Railway 11th Bureau Group Co., Ltd., China Railway 14th Bureau Group Co., Ltd., etc; it also has a number of urban maglev traction power supply, signal communication, and operation management companies with advanced equipment and high-quality services, such as Nanjing Nanrui Group Co., Ltd., Beijing Jingxin Communication System Co., Ltd., and Shanghai Shentong Metro Group Co., Ltd.

4.2023Development Trend and Prospect of Urban Maglev Industry in

(I)2023Development Trend of Urban Maglev Industry in

According to the projections of the Champ Consulting Group,2023The urban maglev industry will present the following development trends:

The market size will continue to grow. With the development of China's economy and society and the acceleration of urbanization, the demand for urban transportation will continue to increase. As an efficient, environmentally friendly and energy-saving mode of transportation, rail transit will receive more attention and support. As a new type of rail transit, urban maglev will play a greater role in the rapid interconnection between cities or within cities, and the market scale will continue to grow. according to the prediction of the champ consulting group,2022-2023The market size of China's urban maglev industry will reach54.5Billions of dollars and58.4billion, with an average annual growth rate7.2%

Technological innovation will continue to deepen. With the development of China's urban maglev industry, technological innovation will continue to deepen, and the high-speed, medium and low-speed maglev technology system will continue to be improved and optimized to improve operating efficiency, reduce energy consumption, improve safety, and enhance comfort. China per hour600The kilometer high-speed maglev transportation system will be in2023The trial operation began around the year, demonstrating China's technical strength and innovation capability in the field of high-speed magnetic levitation. China's own technology of medium and low speed maglev will also be in2023More line construction and operation will be realized around the year, demonstrating China's technological advantages and market competitiveness in the field of medium and low speed maglev.

Policy support will be stronger. With the development of China's urban maglev industry, policy support will be more powerful, providing more policy guarantees for the development of urban maglev industry. For example, new rail transit equipment such as high-speed, medium and low-speed maglev trains will be included in the national "14th Five-Year Plan" and"2035Annual Vision GoalsWe will increase financial investment and financial support, encourage technological innovation and industrial upgrading, and promote the healthy development of the urban maglev industry.

The industry chain will be more perfect. With the development of China's urban maglev industry, the industrial chain will be more perfect, covering vehicle manufacturing, track construction, traction power supply, signal communication, operation management and other links, with stronger supporting capabilities and synergistic effects. China has a number of urban maglev vehicle manufacturers with independent intellectual property rights and international competitiveness, such as CRRC Qingdao Sifang Co., Ltd., CRRC Zhuzhou Electric Locomotive Co., Ltd., etc.; it also has a number of urban maglev with rich experience and professional technology Construction enterprises, such as China Railway 11th Bureau Group Co., Ltd., China Railway 14th Bureau Group Co., Ltd., etc; it also has a number of urban maglev traction power supply, signal communication, and operation management companies with advanced equipment and high-quality services, such as Nanjing Nanrui Group Co., Ltd., Beijing Jingxin Communication System Co., Ltd., and Shanghai Shentong Metro Group Co., Ltd.

(II)2023Development Prospect of Urban Maglev Industry in

According to the analysis of the Champ Consulting Group,2023The urban maglev industry will present the following development prospects:

The market space will be further expanded. With the development of China's urban maglev industry, the market space will be further expanded, and urban maglev will be applied in more cities and regions to meet the needs of urban transportation at different levels and types. In particular, the breakthrough and application of high-speed maglev technology will provide new options for rapid interconnection between cities, shorten time and space distance, and improve travel efficiency and convenience.

The technical level will be more advanced. With the development of China's urban maglev industry, the technical level will be more advanced, and the high-speed, medium and low-speed maglev technology system will continue to be improved and optimized to improve operating efficiency, reduce energy consumption, improve safety, and enhance comfort. China per hour600The kilometer high-speed maglev transportation system will be in2023The trial operation began around the year, demonstrating China's technical strength and innovation capability in the field of high-speed magnetic levitation. China's own technology of medium and low speed maglev will also be in2023More line construction and operation will be realized around the year, demonstrating China's technological advantages and market competitiveness in the field of medium and low speed maglev.

The policy environment will be more optimized. With the development of China's urban maglev industry, the policy environment will be more optimized, providing more policy guarantees for the development of the urban maglev industry. For example, new rail transit equipment such as high-speed, medium and low-speed maglev trains will be included in the national "14th Five-Year Plan" and"2035Annual Vision GoalsWe will increase financial investment and financial support, encourage technological innovation and industrial upgrading, and promote the healthy development of the urban maglev industry.

The industrial ecology will be more coordinated. With the development of China's urban maglev industry, the industrial ecology will be more coordinated, covering vehicle manufacturing, track construction, traction power supply, signal communication, operation management and other links, with stronger supporting capabilities and synergistic effects. China has a number of urban maglev vehicle manufacturers with independent intellectual property rights and international competitiveness, such as CRRC Qingdao Sifang Co., Ltd., CRRC Zhuzhou Electric Locomotive Co., Ltd., etc.; it also has a number of urban maglev with rich experience and professional technology Construction enterprises, such as China Railway 11th Bureau Group Co., Ltd., China Railway 14th Bureau Group Co., Ltd., etc; it also has a number of urban maglev traction power supply, signal communication, and operation management companies with advanced equipment and high-quality services, such as Nanjing Nanrui Group Co., Ltd., Beijing Jingxin Communication System Co., Ltd., and Shanghai Shentong Metro Group Co., Ltd. These enterprises will form a good cooperative and competitive relationship in the urban maglev industry and jointly promote the development of the urban maglev industry.

5. recommendations

According to the analysis of Shangpu Consulting Group, in order to promote the development of China's urban maglev industry, the following suggestions are put forward:

Strengthen technological innovation and standard-setting. Technological innovation is the core driving force of the urban maglev industry. We should increase investment and support for technological innovation, break through key technologies and core equipment, and improve independent innovation capabilities and international competitiveness. At the same time, we should speed up the formulation and improvement of standards for the urban maglev industry, establish unified technical specifications and quality requirements, and standardize the development direction and operation order of the urban maglev industry.

Optimize project planning and construction management. Project planning and construction management is an important guarantee for the urban maglev industry. Project planning and construction management should be optimized. According to the actual situation of different regions and cities, scientific and reasonable selection of suitable urban maglev technology system and line scheme can improve the feasibility and efficiency of the project. At the same time, the construction management and supervision of the project should be strengthened to ensure the quality and safety of the project and improve the operation level and service level of the project.

Strengthen policy support and financial support. Policy support and financial support are important driving forces for the urban maglev industry. Policy support and financial support should be strengthened, and more policies and measures conducive to the development of the urban maglev industry should be introduced, such as increasing financial investment, providing tax incentives, and granting land subsidies. At the same time, financial support should be increased to guide banks, insurance, funds and other financial institutions to provide more credit, guarantee, investment and other financial services for urban maglev projects.

Cultivate the coordinated development of the industrial chain. The coordinated development of the industrial chain is an important feature of the urban maglev industry. It is necessary to cultivate the coordinated development of the industrial chain, promote cooperation and competition among vehicle manufacturing, track construction, traction power supply, signal communication, operation management and other links, and form a good industrial ecology. At the same time, information exchange and technology sharing between industrial chains should be strengthened to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of industrial chains.




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