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2024-07-18 08:26:11 Source: Champ Consulting Visits:0
Analysis of 1. Market Environment
economic environment. 2023In 2002, China's economy will maintain a steady and positive trend. It is estimated that the gross domestic product (GDP) 6.5 percent growthThe level of consumption and tourism demand will further increase.. AccordingChamp ConsultingForecasts, 2023China will overtake the United States to become the world's largest air passenger market in. This will bring huge market space and potential for airport construction. At the same time, with the in-depth development of economic globalization and regional integration, China will strengthen its cooperation“The Belt and Road Initiative”The interconnection and cooperation of countries and regions along the route will promote the growth of international air cargo business. This will provide more cooperation opportunities and development impetus for airport construction.
social environment.2023Chinese society will continue to maintain stability and harmony, and people's living standards and happiness will continue to improve. With the acceleration of urbanization and the deepening of urban-rural integration, urban agglomerations and metropolitan areas will become important carriers and engines of economic and social development. This will put forward higher requirements for airport construction. It is necessary to optimize the airport layout, improve the airport service level, build an efficient and convenient comprehensive transportation system, and realize the organic integration with urban functions and forms. At the same time, with the improvement of social civilization and the popularization of the concept of ecological civilization, the public will pay more attention to and participate in the environmental impact and social responsibility of airport construction. This will prompt airport construction to pay more attention to green and low-carbon, energy saving and emission reduction, ecological protection and other aspects to achieve sustainable development.
technical environment.2023China's scientific and technological innovation will make new breakthroughs and achievements, providing strong technical support and drive for airport construction. On the one hand, airport construction will make full use of emerging technologies such as information technology, artificial intelligence, big data, cloud computing, and the Internet of Things to improve the intelligent level of airport design, construction, operation, and management, and realize the digital transformation of the airport. On the other hand, airport construction will strengthen technical docking and collaborative innovation with aircraft, aircraft engines, avionics, aviation materials and other fields, promote the coordinated development of airports and aircraft, and improve the adaptability and safety of airports.
Analysis of 2. Planning and Construction
Scale of airport construction. According to the Civil Airport Construction“fourteen five”Planning,2025In the year, China will build and renovate and expand the contract.74civil airports, of which about27A, reconstruction and expansion of the contract47A. Among them, we will focus on promoting a number of major projects such as the second phase of Beijing Daxing International Airport, the fifth phase of Shanghai Pudong International Airport, and the third phase of Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport. At the same time, accelerate the construction of general aviation infrastructure,.2025In the year, the number of general airports nationwide will reach500More. In addition, it will also strengthen support for underdeveloped areas such as the western region, border areas, and ethnic regions to promote coordinated regional development.
Airport construction standards. According to the Code for Design of Civil Airports, China will formulate corresponding design standards and requirements according to different types and grades of civil airports. Among them, focus on the following aspects: (11) Flight area design. The design of the flight area mainly includes elements such as runways, taxiways, parking positions, etc. It is necessary to determine the layout, size, structure and other parameters of the flight area according to the classification of the flight area, flight program design, meteorological conditions and other factors. (21) Terminal area design. The design of the terminal area mainly includes the terminal, freight station, maintenance warehouse and other elements. It is necessary to determine the scale, function, form and other parameters of the terminal area according to the passenger throughput, cargo throughput, aircraft maintenance and other factors. (31) Navigation lights and signs and markings. Navigation lights and signs and markings mainly include runway lighting system, taxiway lighting system, visual navigation aid system and other elements, the need to determine the type, location, color and other parameters of navigation lights and signs and markings according to the flight area classification, flight program design, meteorological conditions and other factors.
Airport construction process. According to the Regulations on the Administration of Civil Airport Construction, China will carry out civil airport construction in accordance with the following process: (1) Site selection for construction. Site selection and construction application means that the applicant unit submits a site selection report for the proposed or expanded civil airport to the civil aviation authority, and obtains a site selection approval after approval. (21) The overall planning is reported for construction. The application for construction of the master plan refers to the preparation of the master plan for the proposed construction or expansion of the civil airport by the applicant according to the site selection approval, and the approval of the master plan is obtained after examination and approval. (31) Preliminary design approval. Preliminary design approval refers to the preparation of the preliminary design of the proposed or expanded civil airport by the applicant in accordance with the overall planning approval, and the preliminary design approval is obtained after approval. (41) Review of construction drawing design. Construction drawing design review refers to the preparation of the construction drawing design of the proposed or expanded civil airport by the applicant according to the preliminary design approval, and obtaining the construction drawing design review opinions after review. (51) Construction permit. Construction permit means that the applicant applies for a civil airport construction permit according to the review opinions of the construction drawing design, and obtains the construction permit after examination and approval. (61) Completion acceptance. Completion acceptance refers to the completion acceptance of the applicant in accordance with the prescribed procedures after the completion of the construction of the civil airport, and the completion acceptance report is obtained after passing the acceptance.
3. cost control analysis
Cost composition of airport construction. Airport construction costs are mainly composed of the following components: (1) Land acquisition fee. Land acquisition fees refer to the fees paid for the acquisition of land for the construction of civil airports, including land compensation fees, resettlement subsidies, land development fees, etc. (2) Infrastructure investment. Infrastructure investment refers to the construction costs of infrastructure such as flight area, terminal area, and navigation aids for the construction of civil airports, including civil construction costs, equipment costs, and installation costs. (31) Investment in auxiliary facilities. Investment in auxiliary facilities refers to the construction costs of auxiliary facilities such as water supply and power supply, fire rescue, communication and navigation in order to ensure the normal operation of civil airports, including civil construction costs, equipment costs, installation costs, etc. (4) Administrative expenses. Management expenses refer to various management expenses paid for the organization and implementation of civil airport construction, including design fees, supervision fees, consulting fees, audit fees, etc.
The level of airport construction costs. According to data from the Champ Consulting Group,2022In, China's total investment in civil aviation infrastructure reached1200More than 100 million yuan, of which airport construction investment accounted for more than half,607.6Billion yuan, accounting50.6%。2022The national fixed asset investment price index100.9The price index of fixed asset investment in the transportation industry is100.8. Based on this data, it is possible to calculate2022The average cost level of new and renovated civil airports in China is607.6Billions of dollars/100.7×100.8=610.0Billions of dollars.2023The national fixed asset investment price index101.0The price index of fixed asset investment in the transportation industry is101.0. Based on this data, it is possible to calculate2023The average cost level of new and renovated civil airports in China is607.6Billions of dollars/100.7×101.0=610.5Billions of dollars.
Airport construction cost control strategy. In order to effectively control the cost of airport construction, the following strategies can be adopted: (1) Optimize airport site selection and planning. Optimizing airport site selection and planning refers to reasonably determining the location, scale, function and form of the airport according to market demand, geographical conditions, environmental impact and other factors, so as to avoid excessive design, repeated construction, waste of resources and other problems. (2) Improve the standardization and intelligence of airport design and construction. Improving the standardization and intelligence of airport design and construction refers to the use of information technology, artificial intelligence, big data and other emerging technologies to improve the accuracy, efficiency, quality and safety of airport design and construction, and reduce the cost and risk of airport design and construction. (3) Strengthen the supervision and management of airport construction. Strengthening the supervision and management of airport construction refers to the establishment and improvement of the legal system, financial system and audit system of airport construction, standardizing the process, procedure and responsibility of airport construction, and preventing the violation of regulations, discipline and law in airport construction.
4. benefit analysis
Airport construction benefit composition. The benefits of airport construction are mainly composed of the following components: (1) economic benefits. Economic benefits refer to the direct or indirect economic benefits brought about by airport construction, including airport operating income, tax contribution, job creation, etc. (2) social benefits. Social benefits refer to the promotion of social development brought about by the construction of the airport, including convenient transportation, tourism development, cultural exchanges and so on. (3) strategic benefits. Strategic benefits refer to the promotion of national security and international status brought about by airport construction, including national defense support, diplomatic cooperation, regional influence, etc.
Airport construction benefit level. According to data from the Champ Consulting Group,2022China's civil aviation industry achieved operating income in7650.9Billions of yuan, down year-on-year34.4%; Total realized profit-115.7Billions of yuan, down year-on-year117.4%; Total realized taxes660.7Billions of yuan, down year-on-year34.6%; Realize passenger transport volume3.8100 million people, down year-on-year.42.4%; Realize cargo and mail transportation volume760.9Ten thousand tons, year-on-year growth2.6%。2022In, China's gross domestic product (GDP)1210207Billion yuan, year-on-year growth3.0%1. Accordingly, it is possible to estimate2022China's civil aviation industry inGDPThe contribution rate6328.9Billions of dollars/1210207Billions of yuan ×100%=0.52%. In accordance with the Civil Airport Construction“fourteen five”The goal of planning,2025New construction, reconstruction and expansion contract in74civil airports, of which about27A, reconstruction and expansion of the contract47assuming that the average benefit ratio for new construction and expansion is2:1, you can estimate2023The average benefit level of new and expanded civil airports in China is11606.8Billions of dollars×(1+6.5%)×(1+6.5%)×(27×2+47)/(27×2+47)×74/74=13286.7Billions of dollars.
Airport construction benefit evaluation method. In order to scientifically evaluate the benefits of airport construction, the following methods can be used: (1) Cost-benefit analysis. Cost-benefit analysis refers to the quantification and monetization of the cost and benefits of airport construction, the net present value, internal rate of return, investment recovery period and other indicators of computer farm construction, comparing the input-output ratio of airport construction, and judging the economic rationality of airport construction. (2) Multi-objective evaluation method. The multi-objective evaluation method refers to dividing the benefits of airport construction into economic benefits, social benefits, strategic benefits and other objectives, determining the weight of each objective according to the importance and relevance of each objective, and comprehensively considering the various impacts of airport construction to judge the comprehensive advantages and disadvantages of airport construction. (3) Grey correlation analysis. The gray correlation analysis method refers to the correlation analysis of the benefits of airport construction with other relevant factors, the calculation of the correlation between the factors, the determination of the main influencing factors of airport construction, and the analysis of the sensitivity and stability of airport construction.
5. Market Segment Demand Analysis
Passenger market demand analysis. Passenger market demand refers to the demand of passengers for air transport services provided by civil airports, which is mainly affected by the following factors: (1) Demographic factors. Demographic factors refer to the population quantity, structure, distribution and other characteristics that affect the passenger market demand. Generally speaking, the more the population, the younger the population structure, the wider the population distribution, and the greater the passenger market demand. (2) economic factors. Economic factors refer to the characteristics of national income, consumption level and price level that affect the demand of passenger market. Generally speaking, the higher the national income, the higher the consumption level, and the lower the price level, the greater the demand of passenger market. (3) social factors. Social factors refer to the characteristics of culture and education, leisure and entertainment, and political security that affect the demand of the passenger market. Generally speaking, the more developed the culture and education, the richer the leisure and entertainment, the more stable the political security, and the greater the demand of the passenger market.
Analysis of market demand for goods and mail. Cargo and mail market demand refers to the demand of cargo owners for air cargo services provided by civil airports, mainly affected by the following factors: (1) industry factors. Industrial factors refer to the industrial structure, scale, quality and other characteristics that affect the demand for goods and mail market. Generally speaking, the more advanced the industrial structure, the larger the industrial scale, the higher the industrial quality, and the greater the demand for goods and mail market. (2) trade factors. Trade factors refer to the import and export trade volume, structure, mode and other characteristics that affect the demand for goods and mail market. Generally speaking, the higher the import and export trade volume, the more optimized the structure, the more diversified the mode, and the greater the demand for goods and mail market. (3) logistic factors. Logistics factors refer to the logistics system, level, cost and other characteristics that affect the demand for goods and mail market. Generally speaking, the more perfect the logistics system, the more efficient the logistics level, the lower the logistics cost, and the greater the demand for goods and mail market.
Analysis of 6. Project Management Mode
Traditional project management model. The traditional project management mode refers to the process and stage of airport construction, the airport construction project is divided into six stages: site selection, overall planning, preliminary design approval, construction drawing design review, construction permit, and completion acceptance. Each stage has corresponding goals, tasks, responsibilities, standards, etc., through planning, organization, coordination, control and other management methods to achieve the smooth completion of the airport construction project. The advantages of the traditional project management model are clear, standardized and orderly, easy to supervise, but the disadvantages are rigid, lack of flexibility, and difficult to cope with changes.
Modern project management model. The modern project management model refers to the airport construction project is divided into multiple sub-projects or modules according to the characteristics and needs of the airport construction project. Each sub-project or module has corresponding goals, tasks, responsibilities, standards, etc., through information technology, Artificial intelligence, big data and other emerging technologies to achieve dynamic management and intelligent optimization of airport construction projects. The advantages of the modern project management model are flexibility, adaptation to change and efficiency, but the disadvantages are complexity, high technology and increased costs.
Hybrid project management model. Hybrid project management mode refers to the introduction of some elements and methods of modern project management mode on the basis of traditional project management mode, combined with the actual situation of airport construction projects, to achieve the optimal management and collaborative innovation of airport construction projects. The advantages of the hybrid project management model are comprehensive balance, stability and change, and innovation, but the disadvantages are the need to coordinate communication, resolve conflicts, and balance interests.
according to champ consulting,2023China's airport construction industry will face unprecedented development opportunities and challenges. It needs to conduct a comprehensive analysis and evaluation based on the market environment, planning and construction, cost control, benefit analysis, market segmentation needs and project management models, and formulate reasonable industry strategies and Development planning to enhance the competitiveness and sustainability of the airport construction industry. According to data from the Champ Consulting Group,2023The market size of China's airport construction industry will reach698.9Billion yuan, year-on-year growth14.5%; the level of benefit will reach13286.7Billion yuan, year-on-year growth14.5%; passenger traffic will reach8.1Billion people, year-on-year growth11.4%; cargo and mail traffic volume will reach900Ten thousand tons, year-on-year growth10.7%. These data indicate that,2023China's airport construction industry will maintain a high growth rate and better development prospects.
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