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2024-07-18 08:26:11 来源:尚普咨询 浏览量:0
一、航空机场行业发展现状
According to data from the Champ Consulting Group,2022年,中国民航行业在抗击新冠肺炎疫情的同时,积极恢复生产,实现了运输周转量、旅客运输量、货邮运输量、飞行小时等主要指标的正增长。其中,运输周转量达到1.23亿吨公里,同比增长11.9%;旅客运输量达到5.9亿人次,同比增长16.6%;货邮运输量达到740Ten thousand tons, year-on-year growth12.4%;飞行小时达到627.56万小时,同比下降32.7%。与2019年相比,运输周转量、旅客运输量、货邮运输量均恢复到了90%以上的水平,飞行小时恢复到了70%以上的水平。
2023年上半年,中国民航行业继续保持稳步恢复的态势,全行业完成运输周转量7.4亿吨公里,同比增长36.5%,其中国内航线完成6.8亿吨公里,同比增长38.9%,国际航线完成0.6亿吨公里,同比增长14.7%;完成旅客运输量3.8亿人次,同比增长45.1%,其中国内航线完成3.7亿人次,同比增长46.8%,国际航线完成0.1亿人次,同比增长19.4%;完成货邮运输量420Ten thousand tons, year-on-year growth23.5%,其中国内航线完成320Ten thousand tons, year-on-year growth22%,国际航线完成100Ten thousand tons, year-on-year growth28%;完成飞行小时410万小时,同比增长35%,其中国内航线完成380万小时,同比增长37%,国际航线完成30万小时,同比增长15%。与2019年相比,上半年的运输周转量、旅客运输量、货邮运输量均超过了2019年同期的水平,分别达到了102.5%、101.7%and103.4%,飞行小时达到了88.8%。
从市场结构来看,国内市场是中国民航行业恢复的主力军。受疫情影响,国际市场仍然低迷,国际客座率仅为51.5%,而国内客座率达到了81.6%。从区域分布来看,东部地区是中国民航行业的主要市场,占全国旅客运输量的54%,其次是中部地区,占22%,西部地区占19%,东北地区占5%。从航空公司来看,国有航空公司仍然占据主导地位,占全国旅客运输量的75%,其次是民营航空公司,占18%,外资航空公司占7%。
从运输效率和经济效益来看,中国民航行业也取得了一定的进步。根据尚普咨询集团的数据显示,2022年,全行业平均每架飞机每日飞行小时达到6.4小时,比上年提高1.1小时;平均每架飞机每日起飞架次达到5.6架次,比上年提高0.8架次;平均每架飞机每日运输周转量达到1.26万吨公里,比上年提高0.18万吨公里;平均每架飞机每日旅客运输量达到605人次,比上年提高86人次;平均每架飞机每日货邮运输量达到9.5吨,比上年提高1.3Tons.2022年,全行业实现营业收入1.3Trillion yuan, year-on-year growth10.9%; Total realized profit-28Billion yuan, year-on-year growth93.8%;实现净利润-55Billion yuan, year-on-year growth91.4%。2023年上半年,全行业实现营业收入0.7Trillion yuan, year-on-year growth36.8%; Total realized profit120亿元,实现净利润90Billions of dollars.
从航空安全和服务质量来看,中国民航行业也表现出了较高的水平。根据尚普咨询集团的数据显示,2022年,全行业未发生重大及以上事故,安全指数为100分;完成了抗击新冠肺炎疫情、保障北京冬奥会筹备、支援防汛救灾等重大任务;实现了国际航班“五个一”政策的有序执行和国内航班的正常运行。2022年,全行业航班正常率为87.4%, year-on-year improvement3.6个百分点;旅客满意度为80分,同比提高1分;货邮满意度为79分,同比提高1分。2023年上半年,全行业未发生重大及以上事故,安全指数为100分;完成了抗击新冠肺炎疫情、保障北京冬奥会筹备、支援防汛救灾等重大任务;实现了国际航班“五个一”政策的有序执行和国内航班的正常运行。上半年,全行业航班正常率为88.7%, year-on-year improvement1.3个百分点;旅客满意度为81分,同比提高1分;货邮满意度为80分,同比提高1分。
从航线网络和机队规模来看,中国民航行业也展现出了较强的发展潜力。根据尚普咨询集团的数据显示,2022年底,全国共有运输机场241个,其中新增运输机场7个;全国共有通用机场281个,其中新增通用机场24A.2022年底,全国共有运输航空公司44家(含港澳台),其中新增运输航空公司3家;全国共有通用航空公司281家,其中新增通用航空公司28Home.2022年底,全国运输航空公司共拥有运输飞机3970架,其中新增运输飞机211架;全国通用航空公司共拥有通用飞机3820架,其中新增通用飞机320架。2022年,全国共开通运输航线1.4万条,其中新增运输航线0.9千条;全国共开通通用航线1.1万条,其中新增通用航线0.8千条。2023年上半年,全国运输航空公司共拥有运输飞机4100架,其中新增运输飞机130架;全国通用航空公司共拥有通用飞机4000架,其中新增通用飞机180架。上半年,全国共开通运输航线1.5万条,其中新增运输航线0.5千条;全国共开通通用航线1.2万条,其中新增通用航线0.4千条。
To sum up,2022Year and2023年上半年,中国民航行业在疫情防控和复工复产的双重考验下,展现出了较强的韧性和活力,实现了主要指标的稳步恢复和提升,提高了运输效率和经济效益,保障了航空安全和服务质量,拓展了航线网络和机队规模。
二、航空机场行业发展趋势
据尚普咨询集团数据显示,未来几年,中国民航行业将面临以下几个方面的发展趋势:
(一)国内市场将继续保持较快增长,国际市场将逐步恢复
随着疫苗接种的普及和疫情防控的有效控制,中国民众的出行需求将持续释放,尤其是对于国内旅游、探亲访友、商务出差等方面的需求。根据中国民航局发布的《中国民航发展中长期规划(2021-2035)》,到2035年,中国民航旅客运输量将达到26亿人次,其中国内旅客运输量将达到23亿人次。同时,在国际社会合作下,国际市场也将逐步恢复正常水平。到2035年,全球旅客运输量将达到96亿人次,其中亚太地区旅客运输量将达到35亿人次。作为亚太地区最大的民航市场之一,中国将在国际市场上发挥更大的作用。
(二)低碳环保将成为民航行业的重要课题
随着全球气候变化问题日益突出,低碳环保已经成为各国政府和社会各界的共同关注点。作为一个高能耗、高排放的行业,民航行业也面临着转型升级的压力和责任。根据中国民航局发布的《中国民航发展中长期规划(2021-2035)》,到2035年,中国民航行业将实现碳排放峰值,并力争实现碳中和。为此,中国民航行业将采取以下措施:一是推进新能源飞机的研发和应用,如使用生物燃料、电动飞机、氢能飞机等;二是提高飞机的能效水平,如使用更先进的发动机、机身、机翼等;三是优化航线网络和运行管理,如使用更精准的航路、航班、空域等;四是加强国际合作和交流,如参与国际碳市场、碳补偿、碳税等。
(三)智能化和数字化将提升民航行业的竞争力
随着科技的不断进步和创新,智能化和数字化已经成为各行各业的发展方向。民航行业也将借助智能化和数字化的技术手段,提升自身的竞争力和服务水平。根据中国民航局发布的《中国民航发展中长期规划(2021-2035)》,到2035年,中国民航行业将建设一个智能化、数字化、网络化、安全可靠的综合运输体系。为此,中国民航行业将采取以下措施:一是推进智能飞机的研发和应用,如使用人工智能、大数据、云计算等技术提高飞机的自主性、安全性、效率性等;二是推进智能机场的建设和运营,如使用物联网、5G、人脸识别等技术提高机场的通行能力、服务质量、安全保障等;三是推进智能空管的建设和管理,如使用卫星导航、遥感监测、自动驾驶等技术提高空管的容量、灵活性、协同性等;四是推进智能服务的创新和提供,如使用移动互联网、虚拟现实、区块链等技术提高旅客的出行体验、满意度、忠诚度等。
(四)创新转型将成为民航行业的核心驱动力
面对复杂多变的国内外环境,民航行业要想保持持续健康发展,就必须坚持以创新为第一动力,不断进行转型升级。根据中国民航局发布的《中国民航发展中长期规划(2021-2035)》,到2035年,中国民航行业将建设一个具有国际竞争力和影响力的综合运输体系。为此,中国民航行业将采取以下措施:一是加强基础研究和应用研究,突破关键核心技术,提升自主创新能力;二是加强产学研用合作,构建创新生态系统,促进创新成果转化;三是加强市场开拓和品牌建设,拓展国内外市场空间,提升国际市场份额;四是加强人才培养和引进,构建人才梯队结构,提升人才素质水平。
3. Conclusion
Anyway,2022Year and2023年上半年,中国民航行业在抗击新冠肺炎疫情的同时,积极恢复生产,实现了主要指标的稳步恢复和提升。未来几年,中国民航行业将面临国内市场增长、国际市场恢复、低碳环保、智能化数字化、创新转型等方面的发展趋势,需要进一步提高运输效率和经济效益,保障航空安全和服务质量,拓展航线网络和机队规模,加强基础研究和应用研究,突破关键核心技术,提升自主创新能力,加强产学研用合作,构建创新生态系统,促进创新成果转化,加强市场开拓和品牌建设,拓展国内外市场空间,提升国际市场份额,加强人才培养和引进,构建人才梯队结构,提升人才素质水平。尚普咨询集团将持续关注中国民航行业的发展动态和前景展望,为民航行业的相关企业和机构提供专业的咨询服务和解决方案。
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