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2024-07-18 10:32:24 Source: Champ Consulting Visits:0
一、发展背景
公路养护是指对公路进行保养与维护,保养侧重于从建成通车开始的全过程养护,维护侧重于对被破坏的部分进行修复,是为保持公路经常处于完好状态,防止其使用质量下降,并向公路使用者提供良好的服务所进行的作业。根据交通运输部于2018年发布的《公路养护工程管理办法》,按不同的养护目的和养护对象,公路养护工程可分为预防养护、修复养护、专项养护和应急养护。
公路养护行业依据企业的注册资本划分,可分为3个竞争梯队。其中,注册资本大于10亿元的企业有山东路桥、浙江交科等,主要是大型交通集团子公司;注册资本在1-10亿元之间的企业有国创高新、交建股份、知行股份等;其它注册资本在1亿元以下的有力阳科技、路嘉路桥等。
目前,国内公路养护市场参与企业众多,以中小企业为主,市场充分竞争。行业竞争企业主要分为四大派系:大型公路投-建-养综合型企业、公路建设施工企业、专业公路养护技术服务及施工企业以及其它区域型中小养护企业。
二、发展现状
(一)市场规模
According to data from the Champ Consulting Group,2014-2022年,中国公路总里程及公路密度逐年上升。截至2022年末,全国公路总里程超过540Ten thousand kilometers,2021Year-end increase12万公里;公路密度超过57.6Kilometer/百平方公里,同比2021Year-end increase1.2Kilometer/百平方公里。我国公路基础设施里程建设不断增加,对公路养护服务需求也日益增长。
从全国公路养护财政支出决算数据来看,2022年全国公路养护财政支出为1.2万亿元,其中日常养护支出为0.4万亿元,养护工程支出为0.8trillion yuan.2023年预算数为1.3万亿元,其中日常养护支出为0.5万亿元,养护工程支出为0.8trillion yuan.
从收费公路养护支出数据来看,2022年,我国收费公路总长达到19.2万公里,其中经营性公路占比55.6%,养护总投入约为720亿元,平均每公里养护费用为37.5万元。经营性公路的养护投入占比58.3%。整体反映出经营性公路的养护投入水平要高于政府还贷公路。
综合以上数据,尚普咨询认为,我国公路养护行业在2023年的市场规模有望突破1700亿元大关,较2022year realized.7%以上的同比增长。
(二)竞争格局
从区域竞争来看,2022年,江苏省在全国公路评价中再创佳绩,高速公路、普通国省道和综合评价三个项目均蝉联全国第一,展现了江苏公路的高质量发展水平。表明江苏省干线公路养护管理水平位居领先地位。
从企业竞争来看,根据尚普咨询集团的数据,2022年,在公路养护行业的上市公司中,浙江交科和山东路桥的市场占有率都高于0.5%,而杭州路桥的市场占有率也超过了0.2%。知行股份、路嘉路桥和力阳科技等公司的市场占有率则相对较低,不足0.1%。从企业的公路养护资质、营收规模、技术水平等方面来看,山东路桥、交建股份的公路养护竞争力相对较高;杭州路桥、路嘉路桥等企业以区域布局为主,经营规模处于中等偏上水平,在区域市场竞争优势突出。
从行业集中度来看,公路养护运营市场的集中度较低,根据尚普咨询集团的数据显示,2022年,前十家企业的市场份额不超过10%,前五十家企业的市场份额不超过45%。这反映了公路养护市场的多元化和竞争性,也为提高养护供给能力和质量提供了有利条件。
3. development trend
(一)市场规模预测
根据尚普咨询集团的研究,“fourteen five”时期,我国将加快构建现代公路养护体系,推行养护决策科学化、养护管理制度化、养护工程精准化、养护生产绿色化。同时,我国将推进设施数字化、养护专业化、管理现代化、运行高效化、服务优质化,全面提升公路养护管理水平。此外,“fourteen five”规划提出了高速公路技术状况 (MQI)优等路率达90%以上等具体目标。这些政策和目标将有利于促进我国公路养护行业的发展。
基于此,尚普咨询预测,“fourteen five”期间,我国公路养护行业市场规模将保持稳定增长。到2023年底,中国公路养护行业市场规模将达到1800Billion yuan, year-on-year growth9.1%。
(二)竞争格局变化
根据尚普咨询集团的研究 ,未来,公路养护行业的竞争格局将发生以下变化:
一方面,随着公路养护市场的不断扩大,行业的集中度将逐步提高,大型公路养护企业将通过并购、合作、扩张等方式,增强自身的市场份额和竞争力,形成一定的规模优势和品牌效应。
另一方面,随着公路养护技术的不断创新和应用,行业的差异化竞争将日益激烈,专业公路养护技术服务及施工企业将通过提供高效、优质、绿色的养护方案和服务,满足客户的个性化需求,形成一定的技术优势和服务优势。
同时,随着公路养护管理的不断规范和完善,行业的合规性竞争将日益突出,各类公路养护企业将通过遵守相关法律法规、标准规范、合同约定等,保证养护质量和安全,形成一定的信誉优势和风险控制能力。
综上所述,未来公路养护行业的竞争格局将呈现多元化、分化化、专业化的特点。
4. development prospects
(一)发展机遇
根据尚普咨询集团的研究 ,未来公路养护行业面临以下发展机遇:
国家政策支持。《中华人民共和国交通运输部关于印发“fourteen five”时期交通运输发展规划纲要的通知》明确提出了加快构建现代公路养护体系、推进设施数字化、养护专业化、管理现代化等目标和任务,为公路养护行业提供了政策指引和保障。
市场需求增长。随着我国公路基础设施建设不断推进,公路总里程和密度不断提高,公路老化、损坏等问题也日益突出,对公路养护服务的需求也日益增长。同时,随着社会经济发展和人民生活水平提高,对公路通行质量和安全性的要求也日益提高,对公路养护服务的品质和水平也日益提高。
技术创新驱动。随着科技进步和信息化发展,公路养护技术也不断创新和应用。例如,智能检测、智能诊断、智能预警等技术可以实现对公路状况的实时监测和分析;无人机、机器人、3D打印等技术可以实现对公路损坏部位的快速定位和修复;大数据、云计算、物联网等技术可以实现对公路养护数据的集成和共享。这些技术创新可以提高公路养护效率和质量,降低公路养护成本和风险。
(二)发展挑战
根据尚普咨询集团的研究 ,未来公路养护行业也面临以下发展挑战:
行业标准不统一。目前,我国公路养护行业的标准体系还不完善,各地区、各类别的公路养护标准存在差异和不一致,导致公路养护质量和效果难以评价和比较,也影响了公路养护市场的规范和透明。
行业人才不足。目前,我国公路养护行业的人才结构不合理,高端人才缺乏,中低端人才流动性大。一方面,公路养护技术的创新和应用需要高素质、高技能的人才,但这类人才的培养和引进还存在困难和不足。另一方面,公路养护工作的艰苦和危险,使得中低端人才的稳定性和忠诚度较低,导致人员流失和更换频繁。
行业竞争激烈。目前,我国公路养护行业的市场集中度极低,参与企业众多,以中小企业为主,市场竞争激烈。一方面,大型公路养护企业之间的竞争日益加剧,通过价格战、资源争夺等方式争夺市场份额和客户资源。另一方面,中小公路养护企业之间的竞争也日益激化,通过低价竞标、恶意竞争等方式争夺生存空间和利润空间。
五、建议与策略
根据尚普咨询集团的研究 ,针对上述发展机遇和挑战,提出以下建议和策略:
加强行业标准制定和执行。建议加快完善公路养护行业的标准体系,制定统一、科学、适用的公路养护标准,并加强对标准的宣传、培训、监督和检查,确保标准的有效实施和执行。同时,建议加强对公路养护质量和效果的评价和比较,建立公路养护质量信用体系,提高行业信誉和形象。
培育和引进行业人才。建议加强对公路养护行业人才的培养和引进,提高行业人才的数量和质量。一方面,建议加强与高校、科研机构等合作,培育高端人才,推动公路养护技术的创新和转化。另一方面,建议加强对中低端人才的培训和激励,提高其技能水平和职业认同感。
提升行业竞争力和核心竞争力。建议提升公路养护行业的整体竞争力和核心竞争力,实现差异化、专业化、品牌化发展。一方面,建议加强对市场需求的分析和预测,提供符合客户需求的个性化、优的养护方案和服务。另一方面,建议加强对公路养护技术的研发和应用,提供高效、绿色、智能的养护工具和方法。同时,建议加强对公路养护企业的品牌建设和宣传,提高企业的知名度和美誉度。
6. epilogue
公路养护是保障公路正常通行的必要基础,也是现代交通行业的重要组成部分。本文分析了公路养护行业的发展背景、现状、趋势和前景,基于尚普咨询集团的数据和研究,预测了2023年公路养护行业的市场规模、竞争格局、发展机遇和挑战,并提出了相应的建议和策略。希望本文能够为公路养护行业的相关人士提供有价值的参考和指导。
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